Post Modern Optimization refers to efforts to improve
Mean Variance Optimization.
Empirical studies have indicated that MV optimization suffers from estimation
error in the variance-covariance matrix or similarly in the correlation matrix
due to large standard errors. This
estimation error leads to inaccurate asset allocation and correspondingly poor
portfolio forecasting.
There have been a number of different methods developed
to address this issue including Shrinkage Methods, Resampling, Black-Litterman
and Random Matrix Theory (RMT).
PORTAX uses RMT for a number of different reasons that are discussed in the Help
Documentation. One key feature of
RMT, is that it allows PORTAX users to either use historical correlations based
on time series or use forecasted correlations without the need for time series.
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PORTAX Correlation Filtering
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